Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 15.608147 17.662123 19.956964 22.724427 25.989171 29.739866 34.406365
2025-09-28 12.487576 15.019583 18.076981 22.085948 27.271791 33.848594 42.976036
2025-10-05 12.074544 15.218732 19.252096 24.908370 32.805795 43.708454 60.392605
2025-10-12 11.137641 14.534989 19.096007 25.831988 35.821996 50.599175 75.153363
2025-10-19 9.899298 13.255966 17.918134 25.079807 36.210147 53.601447 84.510987
2025-10-26 9.346492 12.842746 17.868230 25.905772 39.022708 60.750775 102.321875
2025-11-02 8.584595 12.036318 17.133712 25.553374 39.850204 64.707192 115.342045
2025-11-09 7.912463 11.291765 16.402465 25.090268 40.381347 68.177243 128.241702
2025-11-16 7.369684 10.690768 15.826046 24.795067 41.130632 72.134430 143.167501
2025-11-23 6.814159 10.021546 15.074562 24.105468 41.045509 74.431891 155.023545
2025-11-30 6.426517 9.585839 14.660160 23.949480 41.923914 78.806528 173.060468
2025-12-07 5.919613 8.920230 13.807587 22.913005 40.940189 79.063379 180.813534
2025-12-14 5.414944 8.240768 12.906495 21.749567 39.658025 78.687012 187.548832
2025-12-21 5.051258 7.772635 12.335012 21.151543 39.472555 80.810154 202.234596
2025-12-28 5.228426 8.225283 13.406480 23.822644 46.653338 102.077437 284.278219
2026-01-04 5.118695 8.172699 13.563148 24.695984 50.016010 114.756365 345.951763
2026-01-11 4.805078 7.739162 12.981784 23.984808 49.573554 117.113140 371.176935
2026-01-18 4.707363 7.683877 13.103602 24.765728 52.851968 130.829525 450.152711
2026-01-25 4.481857 7.381683 12.729250 24.432591 53.301878 136.328040 497.632138
2026-02-01 4.261763 7.076195 12.326263 23.994700 53.418317 140.855966 543.979830
2026-02-08 4.075589 6.822877 12.008007 23.715513 53.916260 146.789129 602.235235
2026-02-15 3.862885 6.508113 11.546247 23.063142 53.308738 148.890627 641.749772
2026-02-22 3.716784 6.311748 11.310515 22.915539 54.089049 156.093145 717.653561